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IK Oskarshamn v Nybro Vikings IF

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Oskarshamn (Local)

Prediction 46.00%2.17fair odd
EV +0.272%
Edge +0.125%
Kelly +0.231%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.10%46.05%45.89%46.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.012.002.1851.28%49.82%50.00%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nybro Vikings IF (Visit)

Prediction 31.26%3.20fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.46%31.19%31.40%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.682.953.003.1037.31%33.88%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.75%4.40fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -0.782%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.11%22.76%22.70%23.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.884.124.204.2525.77%24.28%23.81%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Oskarshamn (Local): 46.00%; Nybro Vikings IF (Visit): 31.26%; Draw: 22.75%. For IK Oskarshamn (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.272%.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV +0.272%E +0.125%K +0.231%G +0.001%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.25%EV -16.23%E -6.06%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.65%EV -11.74%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 17:56
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.71%E -2.78%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.73%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 17:59
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.89%EV -6.63%E -3.26%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -3.32%E -0.782%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 17:58
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.01%E -4.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.01%E -4.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.01%E -4.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 17:59
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.01%E -4.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 17:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.01%E -4.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.01%E -4.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 17:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.01%E -4.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.23%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 17:59
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -8.01%E -4.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 17:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.28%EV -8.47%E -4.25%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -10.92%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -11.28%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-27 17:58
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.47%EV -9.85%E -5.02%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.46%EV -6.55%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -10.15%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 18:00
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.31%E -5.29%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -6.73%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 17:59
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.05%EV -10.31%E -5.29%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -10.92%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-27 17:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%5.2%2026-02-27 17:59
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%5.2%2026-02-27 18:00
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%7.1%2026-02-27 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%8.0%2026-02-27 17:59
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%8.0%2026-02-27 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%8.0%2026-02-27 17:59
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%8.0%2026-02-27 17:59
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%8.0%2026-02-27 17:59