The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

IK Oskarshamn v IF Björklöven

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Oskarshamn (Local)

Prediction 25.00%4.00fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -0.868%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.30%25.03%25.00%25.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.753.803.9028.57%26.63%26.32%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Björklöven (Visit)

Prediction 53.18%1.88fair odd
EV -5.34%
Edge -3.00%
Kelly -6.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.19%53.15%53.18%54.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.741.751.7859.52%57.49%57.14%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.82%4.58fair odd
EV -5.07%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.44%21.83%21.82%22.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.234.254.3525.00%23.65%23.53%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Oskarshamn (Local): 25.00%; IF Björklöven (Visit): 53.18%; Draw: 21.82%. For IK Oskarshamn (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -2.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.

6 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -2.52%E -0.645%K -0.868%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.74%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -5.07%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 07:50
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.02%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.25%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:30
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.02%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.25%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.02%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.25%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.02%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.25%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:29
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.02%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.25%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:29
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.02%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.25%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:29
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.02%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.25%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:29
1xBet🎯3.77I 26.53%NM 24.36%EV -5.77%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.03%EV -9.59%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -7.25%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-19 17:29
LeoVegas🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.27%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -8.34%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -6.27%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.25%EV -10.66%E -6.34%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -7.25%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-19 17:30
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -7.52%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -9.06%E -5.30%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -10.52%E -2.57%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-19 17:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -5.34%E -3.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.16%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 02:40
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.51%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.19%EV -9.06%E -5.30%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -12.70%E -3.18%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-19 02:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (6)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%6.0%2026-03-19 17:14
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%6.0%2026-03-19 17:14
Pinnacle🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.66%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.34%7.4%2026-03-19 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%7.6%2026-03-18 09:44
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%7.6%2026-03-18 09:44
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%8.2%2026-03-19 16:40