The School of Odds
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IK Oskarshamn v IF Björklöven

Kickoff: 2026-02-23 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Oskarshamn (Local)

Prediction 24.89%4.02fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -0.621%
Kelly -0.834%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%24.63%24.97%25.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.753.753.9227.78%26.66%26.67%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Björklöven (Visit)

Prediction 53.62%1.86fair odd
EV -4.56%
Edge -2.56%
Kelly -5.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.00%53.86%53.51%55.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.721.7860.61%58.46%58.14%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.49%4.65fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -0.731%
Kelly -0.940%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.76%21.51%21.53%21.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.394.404.5024.39%22.76%22.73%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Oskarshamn (Local): 24.89%; IF Björklöven (Visit): 53.62%; Draw: 21.49%. For IK Oskarshamn (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.92, with an expected value of -2.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 23.42%EV -2.43%E -0.621%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.98%EV -10.45%E -6.26%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -8.66%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 17:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -2.93%E -0.752%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.21%EV -11.53%E -6.99%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -8.66%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-23 17:59
Coolbet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-23 17:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.17%E -3.52%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-23 17:59
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.77%E -4.52%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.29%E -0.731%K -0.940%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.77%E -4.52%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.29%E -0.731%K -0.940%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.77%E -4.52%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.29%E -0.731%K -0.940%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.77%E -4.52%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.29%E -0.731%K -0.940%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 18:00
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.77%E -4.52%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.29%E -0.731%K -0.940%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.77%E -4.52%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.29%E -0.731%K -0.940%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.77%E -4.52%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.29%E -0.731%K -0.940%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 18:00
LeoVegas🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -7.77%E -4.52%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.44%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-23 18:00
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.15%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.16%EV -9.92%E -5.90%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-23 18:00
Betway🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -9.15%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.17%EV -10.45%E -6.26%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -7.59%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-23 18:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -8.85%E -5.20%K -12.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -11.89%E -2.90%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-23 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%5.3%2026-02-23 18:00
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%5.3%2026-02-23 17:59
Smarkets◎2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%5.9%2026-02-23 18:00
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%6.3%2026-02-23 17:57
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%7.5%2026-02-23 17:59
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%7.5%2026-02-23 17:58
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%7.6%2026-02-23 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%7.6%2026-02-23 18:00
Pinnacle🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%8.1%2026-02-23 17:59