Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Oskarshamn v Almtuna IS

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Oskarshamn (Local)

Prediction 50.13%1.99fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -2.23%
Kelly -4.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.69%50.53%50.12%52.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.811.811.9157.47%55.35%55.25%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Almtuna IS (Visit)

Prediction 27.71%3.61fair odd
EV +1.71%
Edge +0.466%
Kelly +0.641%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 3.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.05%27.26%27.76%28.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.463.503.6731.25%28.87%28.57%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.15%4.51fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.70%22.21%22.12%22.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.224.304.3025.00%23.70%23.26%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Oskarshamn (Local): 50.13%; Almtuna IS (Visit): 27.71%; Draw: 22.15%. For Almtuna IS (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.71%.

7 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.24%EV -11.77%E -6.69%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.05%EV +1.71%E +0.466%K +0.641%G +0.011%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%EV -10.27%E -2.54%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-25 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -12.77%E -7.34%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.06%EV +0.881%E +0.242%K +0.334%G +0.003%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.52%EV -10.27%E -2.54%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-25 17:54
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -9.26%E -5.12%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -3.00%E -0.857%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -9.26%E -5.12%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -3.00%E -0.857%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -9.26%E -5.12%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -3.00%E -0.857%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -9.26%E -5.12%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -3.00%E -0.857%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 17:25
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -9.26%E -5.12%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -3.00%E -0.857%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -9.26%E -5.12%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -3.00%E -0.857%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 17:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -9.26%E -5.12%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -3.00%E -0.857%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 17:25
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -3.00%E -0.857%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 17:25
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 16:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 16:59
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -11.27%E -6.37%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-25 17:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.18%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.93%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-25 17:05
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.31%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.38%E -2.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-25 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (7)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%5.0%2026-02-25 17:04
NordicBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%5.0%2026-02-25 17:05
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%6.7%2026-02-25 17:25
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%7.5%2026-02-24 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%7.5%2026-02-24 19:30
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.16%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%7.7%2026-02-25 17:05
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.01%12.6%2026-02-25 17:15