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IK Oskarshamn v Almtuna IS

2026-10-16 17:00 UTC — HockeyAllsvenskan

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Oskarshamn (Local)

Prediction 42.17%2.37fair odd
EV -8.08%
Edge -3.71%
Kelly -6.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.12%42.17%42.16%44.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.152.172.1848.54%46.58%46.19%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Almtuna IS (Visit)

Prediction 35.21%2.84fair odd
EV +0.356%
Edge +0.125%
Kelly +0.192%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.56%35.21%35.32%35.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.742.802.8539.22%36.47%35.71%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.62%4.42fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.367%
Kelly -0.477%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.07%22.62%22.52%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.984.194.254.3525.13%23.85%23.53%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: IK Oskarshamn (Local): 42.17%; Almtuna IS (Visit): 35.21%; Draw: 22.62%. For Almtuna IS (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.85, producing a positive expected value of +0.356%.

2 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.50%E -3.92%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV +0.356%E +0.125%K +0.192%G +0.001%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.07%EV -1.60%E -0.367%K -0.477%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-14 20:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.50%E -3.92%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV +0.356%E +0.125%K +0.192%G +0.001%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.07%EV -1.60%E -0.367%K -0.477%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-14 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.50%E -3.92%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV +0.356%E +0.125%K +0.192%G +0.001%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.07%EV -1.60%E -0.367%K -0.477%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-14 20:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.50%E -3.92%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV +0.356%E +0.125%K +0.192%G +0.001%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.07%EV -1.60%E -0.367%K -0.477%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-14 20:34
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.33%EV -10.61%E -5.00%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -1.40%E -0.502%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -3.86%E -0.908%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-14 20:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.33%EV -10.61%E -5.00%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -1.40%E -0.502%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -3.86%E -0.908%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-14 20:30
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.33%EV -10.61%E -5.00%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -1.40%E -0.502%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -3.86%E -0.908%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-14 20:34
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.14%EV -13.14%E -6.38%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -4.93%E -1.82%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -7.25%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-14 20:30
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.13%EV -8.08%E -3.71%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.79%EV -7.04%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.08%EV -9.97%E -2.50%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-15 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.19%EV -8.92%E -4.13%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 34.91%EV -8.10%E -3.10%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.90%EV -9.97%E -2.50%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-15 00:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -8.08%E -3.71%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -7.25%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-14 20:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.12%EV -9.76%E -4.56%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.35%EV -10.21%E -4.00%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-14 20:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (2)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%7.2%2026-10-14 20:30
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 53.57%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.43%10.5%2026-10-14 20:30