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IK Oskarshamn v Almtuna IS

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Oskarshamn (Local)

Prediction 52.69%1.90fair odd
EV +0.641%
Edge +0.335%
Kelly +0.704%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.76%52.61%52.69%55.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.801.831.9160.61%55.69%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Almtuna IS (Visit)

Prediction 25.33%3.95fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.312%
Kelly -0.420%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.51%25.23%25.33%26.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.633.603.9028.57%27.57%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.98%4.55fair odd
EV -5.49%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.21%22.16%21.98%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.064.004.3025.64%24.63%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Oskarshamn (Local): 52.69%; Almtuna IS (Visit): 25.33%; Draw: 21.98%. For IK Oskarshamn (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.641%.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.76%EV +0.641%E +0.335%K +0.704%G +0.005%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.47%EV -10.98%E -2.71%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 17:55
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -3.05%E -1.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 17:55
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 17:55
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-11 17:55
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -5.16%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -14.28%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-11 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.19%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -5.49%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 17:55
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.19%EV -9.90%E -5.79%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-11 17:55
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -12.01%E -7.19%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -1.22%E -0.312%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -5.49%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-11 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.28%EV -13.06%E -7.91%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.51%EV -1.72%E -0.444%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.21%EV -5.49%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-11 17:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%5.9%2026-03-11 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%6.2%2026-03-11 17:55
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%7.8%2026-03-11 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%7.8%2026-03-11 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%7.8%2026-03-11 17:20
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%7.8%2026-03-11 17:15
Smarkets◎1.45I 68.97%NM 63.84%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.16%8.0%2026-03-11 17:55
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.91%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.09%8.3%2026-03-11 17:50