The School of Odds
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IK Oskarshamn v AIK

2026-10-07 17:00 UTC — HockeyAllsvenskan

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Oskarshamn (Local)

Prediction 26.10%3.83fair odd
EV -4.99%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.18%26.10%26.10%28.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.383.353.6431.25%29.60%29.85%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AIK (Visit)

Prediction 52.62%1.90fair odd
EV +5.23%
Edge +2.62%
Kelly +5.23%
Growth +0.274%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.97%52.62%52.62%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.901.942.0058.82%52.61%51.55%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.28%4.70fair odd
EV -8.49%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -2.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.20%21.28%21.28%23.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.114.104.3025.64%24.34%24.39%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: IK Oskarshamn (Local): 26.10%; AIK (Visit): 52.62%; Draw: 21.28%. For AIK (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.00, producing a positive expected value of +5.23%.

3 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.64%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.97%EV +5.23%E +2.62%K +5.23%G +0.274%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -12.74%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.64%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.97%EV +5.23%E +2.62%K +5.23%G +0.274%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -12.74%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.64%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.97%EV +5.23%E +2.62%K +5.23%G +0.274%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -12.74%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.64%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.97%EV +5.23%E +2.62%K +5.23%G +0.274%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -12.74%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 20:54
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV +2.60%E +1.33%K +2.74%G +0.071%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 20:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV +2.08%E +1.07%K +2.21%G +0.046%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 20:54
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV +2.08%E +1.07%K +2.21%G +0.046%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -14.87%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 20:55
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -16.48%E -5.15%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.32%EV -1.08%E -0.575%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -17.00%E -4.36%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-04 20:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -6.34%E -3.56%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.49%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 20:34
1xBet🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 25.23%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.40%EV -9.50%E -5.52%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -8.49%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-04 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 25.18%EV -5.51%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -10.55%E -6.21%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -8.49%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-04 21:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (3)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%5.1%2026-10-05 00:55
Betsson🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%5.1%2026-10-05 00:54
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%7.9%2026-10-04 20:34