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IF Troja-Ljungby v Västerås IK

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Troja-Ljungby (Local)

Prediction 32.33%3.09fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.85%32.44%32.33%33.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.953.003.0036.36%33.91%33.33%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Västerås IK (Visit)

Prediction 44.72%2.24fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.730%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.32%44.51%44.72%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.052.042.2050.00%48.81%49.02%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.94%4.36fair odd
EV -5.93%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.45%23.05%22.94%23.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.843.984.004.1026.04%25.12%25.00%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Troja-Ljungby (Local): 32.33%; Västerås IK (Visit): 44.72%; Draw: 22.94%. For Västerås IK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -1.61%; they did not produce positive expected value.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.00%E -1.00%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -8.76%E -4.29%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.23%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 16:30
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.00%E -1.00%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -8.76%E -4.29%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.23%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.00%E -1.00%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -8.76%E -4.29%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.23%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 16:30
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.00%E -1.00%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -8.76%E -4.29%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.23%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.00%E -1.00%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -8.76%E -4.29%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.23%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 16:29
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.00%E -1.00%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -8.76%E -4.29%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.23%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.00%E -1.00%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -8.76%E -4.29%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.23%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.00%E -1.00%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -8.76%E -4.29%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.23%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 16:30
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -4.62%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.51%EV -10.55%E -5.28%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -11.67%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 16:30
1xBet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.33%EV -5.27%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.31%E -4.06%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 23.90%EV -11.90%E -3.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.24%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -6.97%E -3.35%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.93%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 18:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.24%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.87%EV -9.21%E -4.54%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 23.72%EV -11.90%E -3.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-19 17:44
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -7.85%E -2.76%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.32%EV -1.61%E -0.730%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -5.93%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 22:40
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -11.09%E -4.03%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -10.55%E -5.28%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -8.23%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-18 16:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%5.3%2026-03-19 16:59
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%5.3%2026-03-19 16:59
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%7.2%2026-03-18 09:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%7.2%2026-03-18 09:44
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.52%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%7.4%2026-03-19 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%7.6%2026-03-18 09:44
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%7.6%2026-03-18 09:44
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%7.7%2026-03-19 16:29