Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Troja-Ljungby v Västerås IK

Kickoff: 2026-03-23 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

52%

48%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Troja-Ljungby (Local)

Prediction 51.60%1.94fair odd

EV -6.60%

Edge -3.64%

Kelly -8.14%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.60%51.60%51.60%51.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.811.811.811.8155.25%55.25%55.25%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Västerås IK (Visit)

Prediction 48.40%2.07fair odd

EV -6.60%

Edge -3.42%

Kelly -7.09%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

48.40%48.40%48.40%48.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.931.931.931.9351.81%51.81%51.81%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Troja-Ljungby (Local): 51.60%; Västerås IK (Visit): 48.40%. For IF Troja-Ljungby (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.81, with an expected value of -6.60%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -6.60%E -3.64%K -8.14%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.60%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-22 08:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	1.77I 56.50%NM 51.24%	1.86I 53.76%NM 48.76%	10.3%	2026-03-22 07:59

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3	Margin ▲	Updated
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.63%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%	7.9%	2026-03-22 07:59