Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Troja-Ljungby v Kalmar HC

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Troja-Ljungby (Local)

Prediction 17.47%5.73fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.390%
Kelly -0.475%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.81%17.49%17.38%18.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.165.105.6020.41%19.38%19.61%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kalmar HC (Visit)

Prediction 63.79%1.57fair odd
EV -6.23%
Edge -4.24%
Kelly -13.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.85%63.78%63.85%64.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.441.441.4770.92%69.48%69.44%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.75%5.33fair odd
EV +1.22%
Edge +0.227%
Kelly +0.278%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 5.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.22%18.73%18.77%19.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.195.305.4021.28%19.26%18.87%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Troja-Ljungby (Local): 17.47%; Kalmar HC (Visit): 63.79%; Draw: 18.75%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.33. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.22%.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -10.92%E -2.14%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.40%EV -7.51%E -5.18%K -16.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV +1.22%E +0.227%K +0.278%G +0.003%7.1%2026-02-25 06:24
Unibet (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.92%E -2.14%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.56%EV -8.14%E -5.66%K -18.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.22%EV +1.22%E +0.227%K +0.278%G +0.003%7.6%2026-02-25 06:25
Unibet (NL)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.92%E -2.14%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.56%EV -8.14%E -5.66%K -18.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.22%EV +1.22%E +0.227%K +0.278%G +0.003%7.6%2026-02-25 06:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.92%E -2.14%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.56%EV -8.14%E -5.66%K -18.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.22%EV +1.22%E +0.227%K +0.278%G +0.003%7.6%2026-02-25 06:25
Grosvenor🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.92%E -2.14%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.56%EV -8.14%E -5.66%K -18.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.22%EV +1.22%E +0.227%K +0.278%G +0.003%7.6%2026-02-25 06:24
Svenska Spel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.92%E -2.14%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.56%EV -8.14%E -5.66%K -18.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.22%EV +1.22%E +0.227%K +0.278%G +0.003%7.6%2026-02-25 06:25
ATG (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -10.92%E -2.14%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.56%EV -8.14%E -5.66%K -18.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.22%EV +1.22%E +0.227%K +0.278%G +0.003%7.6%2026-02-25 06:25
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -12.67%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.11%EV -8.14%E -5.66%K -18.51%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -0.651%E -0.123%K -0.151%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 16:25
TABtouch🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -14.41%E -2.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.09%EV -9.42%E -6.63%K -22.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -1.59%E -0.303%K -0.374%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-25 16:24
Coolbet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.99%EV -2.19%E -0.390%K -0.475%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.72%EV -6.23%E -4.24%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.29%EV -2.53%E -0.486%K -0.601%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -5.68%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.85%EV -6.23%E -4.24%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 18:05
1xBet🎯5.46I 18.32%NM 16.81%EV -4.63%E -0.848%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -9.42%E -6.63%K -22.43%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.54%EV -7.21%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 23:29
Marathon Bet🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.02%EV -6.55%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.58%EV -10.06%E -7.13%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.40%EV -7.21%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-23 23:29
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.67%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -8.14%E -5.66%K -18.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -10.96%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-24 10:19
Codere (IT)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -12.67%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.88%EV -8.78%E -6.14%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -11.90%E -2.53%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-24 07:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%5.1%2026-02-25 06:25
NordicBet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%5.1%2026-02-25 06:24
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%6.5%2026-02-25 17:54
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%7.8%2026-02-25 12:43
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%7.8%2026-02-25 12:45
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%7.8%2026-02-25 12:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%7.8%2026-02-25 12:44
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%8.2%2026-02-25 06:25
Pinnacle🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 26.00%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.00%9.0%2026-02-23 23:30