Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.49
assuming max odds 5.75
assuming max odds 5.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Björklöven (Local): 63.05%; Mora IK (Visit): 17.56%; Draw: 19.38%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.74%.
9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.54%EV -8.58%E -5.91%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV +0.997%E +0.173%K +0.210%G +0.002% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV +2.74%E +0.516%K +0.636%G +0.017% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 07:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.05%E -4.06%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.08%E -0.616%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.05%E -4.06%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.08%E -0.616%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.05%E -4.06%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.08%E -0.616%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.05%E -4.06%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.08%E -0.616%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.05%E -4.06%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.08%E -0.616%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.05%E -4.06%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.08%E -0.616%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 10:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.05%E -4.06%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.08%E -0.616%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.05%E -4.06%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -13.93%E -2.84%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -5.02%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.88%EV -6.68%E -4.52%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.79%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -6.96%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 15:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.58%E -5.91%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.83%EV -15.69%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.83%EV -6.96%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.80%EV -9.21%E -6.39%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.86%EV -4.27%E -0.784%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -7.93%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 15:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.76%EV -9.84%E -6.88%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.04%EV -6.03%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.20%EV -7.93%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-01 15:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -9.21%E -6.39%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -10.83%E -2.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 15:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.21%E -6.39%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.18%E -2.44%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.77%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-01 15:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 15:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 15:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42% | 6.6% | 2026-03-01 15:17 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 17:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.37% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 15:20 |