Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Björklöven v IK Oskarshamn

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 14:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Björklöven (Local)

Prediction 63.10%1.58fair odd
EV -6.62%
Edge -4.47%
Kelly -13.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.81%63.48%63.10%64.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.471.481.4869.44%68.09%67.57%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IK Oskarshamn (Visit)

Prediction 17.92%5.58fair odd
EV +11.99%
Edge +1.92%
Kelly +2.28%
Growth +0.274%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.23%17.33%17.92%18.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.175.106.2520.41%19.35%19.61%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.99%5.27fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -0.623%
Kelly -0.774%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.36%19.19%18.99%20.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.754.985.055.1021.05%20.09%19.80%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Björklöven (Local): 63.10%; IK Oskarshamn (Visit): 17.92%; Draw: 18.99%. For IK Oskarshamn (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.99%.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.74%EV -7.25%E -4.93%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%EV +11.99%E +1.92%K +2.28%G +0.274%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -9.82%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 13:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.53%EV -7.25%E -4.93%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -5.93%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -5.07%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 14:00
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.36%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -5.93%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -8.87%E -1.85%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 13:59
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.62%E -4.47%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -8.62%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -3.17%E -0.623%K -0.774%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.62%E -4.47%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -8.62%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -3.17%E -0.623%K -0.774%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.62%E -4.47%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -8.62%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -3.17%E -0.623%K -0.774%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.62%E -4.47%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -8.62%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -3.17%E -0.623%K -0.774%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.62%E -4.47%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -8.62%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -3.17%E -0.623%K -0.774%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.62%E -4.47%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -8.62%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -3.17%E -0.623%K -0.774%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.62%E -4.47%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -8.62%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -3.17%E -0.623%K -0.774%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 14:00
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.62%E -4.47%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -10.41%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -5.07%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.81%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.41%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -8.87%E -1.85%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 13:58
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.41%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.82%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 13:59
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.51%EV -12.20%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.51%EV -6.97%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%6.3%2026-03-15 14:00
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%6.3%2026-03-15 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%6.9%2026-03-15 13:59
Neds🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%6.9%2026-03-15 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%7.5%2026-03-15 14:00
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%8.2%2026-03-15 14:00
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%8.6%2026-03-15 14:00
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.33%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.67%8.9%2026-03-15 13:59