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IF Björklöven v BIK Karlskoga

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Björklöven (Local)

Prediction 51.81%1.93fair odd
EV -6.73%
Edge -3.74%
Kelly -8.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.33%51.93%51.81%53.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.761.751.8058.14%56.84%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BIK Karlskoga (Visit)

Prediction 26.02%3.84fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.291%
Kelly -0.396%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.84%25.89%26.09%26.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.673.753.8029.41%27.27%26.67%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.16%4.51fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -0.827%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.82%22.18%22.10%22.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.204.254.3525.00%23.83%23.53%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Björklöven (Local): 51.81%; BIK Karlskoga (Visit): 26.02%; Draw: 22.16%. For BIK Karlskoga (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -1.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.31%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.70%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 17:59
Coolbet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.12%EV -7.25%E -4.05%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -1.11%E -0.291%K -0.396%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.86%EV -3.60%E -0.827%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 23:29
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.34%EV -7.25%E -4.05%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 25.96%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -10.25%E -2.53%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.55%EV -8.29%E -4.68%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 25.92%EV -8.39%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.53%EV -10.25%E -2.53%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 18:49
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -8.29%E -4.68%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.91%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -11.35%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 17:58
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -9.33%E -5.33%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -2.41%E -0.642%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.81%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 18:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -9.33%E -5.33%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -2.41%E -0.642%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.81%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 18:44
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -9.33%E -5.33%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -2.41%E -0.642%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.81%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -9.33%E -5.33%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -2.41%E -0.642%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.81%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 18:44
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -9.33%E -5.33%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -2.41%E -0.642%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.81%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 18:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -9.33%E -5.33%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -2.41%E -0.642%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.81%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 18:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -9.33%E -5.33%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -2.41%E -0.642%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.81%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 18:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -9.33%E -5.33%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -2.41%E -0.642%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.81%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 18:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51%EV -9.33%E -5.33%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -11.52%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-27 17:58
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.88%E -6.33%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.01%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 18:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%5.1%2026-02-27 17:59
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%5.1%2026-02-27 18:00
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%6.7%2026-02-27 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.56%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%7.3%2026-02-27 18:54
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%8.3%2026-02-27 19:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%8.4%2026-02-27 09:39
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%8.4%2026-02-27 09:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%8.4%2026-02-27 09:39
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%8.4%2026-02-27 09:39