Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

BIK Karlskoga v Visby/Roma HK

2026-10-23 17:00 UTC — HockeyAllsvenskan

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BIK Karlskoga (Local)

Prediction 61.04%1.64fair odd
EV -5.39%
Edge -3.48%
Kelly -9.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.42%61.08%61.04%64.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.481.491.5570.92%67.57%67.11%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Visby/Roma HK (Visit)

Prediction 19.36%5.17fair odd
EV +4.52%
Edge +0.837%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.046%

assuming max odds 5.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.65%19.35%19.36%19.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.115.305.4021.74%19.58%18.87%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.61%5.10fair odd
EV +5.87%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +0.078%

assuming max odds 5.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.78%19.57%19.61%20.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.085.255.4022.22%19.68%19.05%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: BIK Karlskoga (Local): 61.04%; Visby/Roma HK (Visit): 19.36%; Draw: 19.61%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.10. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.40, producing a positive expected value of +5.87%.

2 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -9.05%E -6.08%K -18.47%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.78%EV +4.52%E +0.837%K +1.03%G +0.046%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.78%EV +5.87%E +1.09%K +1.33%G +0.078%4.2%2026-10-21 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -9.05%E -6.08%K -18.47%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.78%EV +4.52%E +0.837%K +1.03%G +0.046%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.78%EV +5.87%E +1.09%K +1.33%G +0.078%4.2%2026-10-21 21:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -9.05%E -6.08%K -18.47%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.78%EV +4.52%E +0.837%K +1.03%G +0.046%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.78%EV +5.87%E +1.09%K +1.33%G +0.078%4.2%2026-10-21 21:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -9.05%E -6.08%K -18.47%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.78%EV +4.52%E +0.837%K +1.03%G +0.046%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.78%EV +5.87%E +1.09%K +1.33%G +0.078%4.2%2026-10-21 21:20
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.37%EV -10.88%E -7.45%K -23.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV +2.58%E +0.487%K +0.601%G +0.016%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV +2.93%E +0.558%K +0.689%G +0.020%6.4%2026-10-21 21:20
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.53%EV -11.49%E -7.93%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV +2.58%E +0.487%K +0.601%G +0.016%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV +2.93%E +0.558%K +0.689%G +0.020%6.9%2026-10-21 21:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.53%EV -11.49%E -7.93%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV +2.58%E +0.487%K +0.601%G +0.016%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV +2.93%E +0.558%K +0.689%G +0.020%6.9%2026-10-21 21:20
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -13.93%E -9.88%K -33.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -1.29%E -0.252%K -0.314%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -0.011%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-21 21:20
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.39%E -3.48%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -5.16%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.93%E -0.803%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 21:40
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.67%EV -9.05%E -6.08%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.18%EV -7.29%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -5.89%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 21:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.61%EV -9.66%E -6.53%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -9.03%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -5.89%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-21 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.44%E -5.63%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -7.09%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.81%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-21 21:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.42%EV -9.05%E -6.08%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -10.97%E -2.38%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.77%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-21 21:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (2)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.23%3.09I 32.36%NM 29.77%8.7%2026-10-21 21:20
Smarkets◎1.28I 78.13%NM 70.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%10.4%2026-10-21 21:20