Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.50
assuming max odds 5.50
assuming max odds 5.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BIK Karlskoga (Local): 61.61%; Vimmerby HC (Visit): 18.82%; Draw: 19.57%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.11. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.69%.
6 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -8.20%E -5.50%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.78%EV +1.61%E +0.298%K +0.366%G +0.006% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.78%EV +5.69%E +1.05%K +1.29%G +0.074% | 4.2% | 2026-09-26 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -8.20%E -5.50%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.78%EV +1.61%E +0.298%K +0.366%G +0.006% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.78%EV +5.69%E +1.05%K +1.29%G +0.074% | 4.2% | 2026-09-26 22:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -8.20%E -5.50%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.78%EV +1.61%E +0.298%K +0.366%G +0.006% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.78%EV +5.69%E +1.05%K +1.29%G +0.074% | 4.2% | 2026-09-26 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -8.20%E -5.50%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.78%EV +1.61%E +0.298%K +0.366%G +0.006% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.78%EV +5.69%E +1.05%K +1.29%G +0.074% | 4.2% | 2026-09-26 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.37%EV -10.05%E -6.88%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV -0.270%E -0.051%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV +2.76%E +0.525%K +0.649%G +0.018% | 6.4% | 2026-09-26 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.53%EV -10.66%E -7.36%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -0.270%E -0.051%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV +2.76%E +0.525%K +0.649%G +0.018% | 6.9% | 2026-09-26 22:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.53%EV -10.66%E -7.36%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -0.270%E -0.051%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV +2.76%E +0.525%K +0.649%G +0.018% | 6.9% | 2026-09-26 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -13.13%E -9.31%K -32.02%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -4.03%E -0.791%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -0.179%E -0.035%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-26 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34%EV -7.58%E -5.06%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV +3.49%E +0.635%K +0.776%G +0.027% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39%EV -4.09%E -0.835%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 08:08 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.81%EV -10.66%E -7.36%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -6.05%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-27 11:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -7.58%E -5.06%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -9.68%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -7.03%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 23:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.48%EV -9.43%E -6.42%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.19%EV -4.97%E -0.985%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -7.03%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-27 09:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.64%EV -7.58%E -5.06%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -11.92%E -2.65%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-26 23:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -8.82%E -5.96%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.16%EV -11.56%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.92%E -2.65%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-26 23:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 09:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 11:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89% | 8.2% | 2026-09-27 00:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32% | 8.6% | 2026-09-27 07:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32% | 8.6% | 2026-09-27 07:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26% | 8.9% | 2026-09-27 09:10 |