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BIK Karlskoga v Nybro Vikings IF

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BIK Karlskoga (Local)

Prediction 56.83%1.76fair odd
EV -5.10%
Edge -3.05%
Kelly -7.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.14%56.82%56.83%57.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.631.631.6763.29%61.54%61.35%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nybro Vikings IF (Visit)

Prediction 21.92%4.56fair odd
EV -0.269%
Edge -0.059%
Kelly -0.076%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.75%21.86%21.92%22.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.394.504.5525.00%22.76%22.22%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.25%4.71fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -0.969%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.73%21.32%21.25%22.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.264.254.5024.39%23.45%23.53%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BIK Karlskoga (Local): 56.83%; Nybro Vikings IF (Visit): 21.92%; Draw: 21.25%. For Nybro Vikings IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.55, with an expected value of -0.269%; they did not produce positive expected value.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -0.269%E -0.059%K -0.076%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -8.61%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 17:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -6.23%E -3.78%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.36%E -0.969%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 18:00
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.28%EV -7.37%E -4.52%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.36%E -0.303%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -9.67%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.28%EV -7.37%E -4.52%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.36%E -0.303%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -9.67%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.28%EV -7.37%E -4.52%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.36%E -0.303%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -9.67%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.28%EV -7.37%E -4.52%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.36%E -0.303%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -9.67%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 18:00
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.28%EV -7.37%E -4.52%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.36%E -0.303%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -9.67%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.28%EV -7.37%E -4.52%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.36%E -0.303%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -9.67%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.28%EV -7.37%E -4.52%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.36%E -0.303%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -9.67%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 18:00
LeoVegas🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.87%EV -7.37%E -4.52%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -3.56%E -0.808%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -10.74%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-18 18:00
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.14%EV -8.51%E -5.28%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -9.67%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-18 18:00
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.39%EV -9.08%E -5.67%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.26%EV -5.31%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.35%EV -8.61%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 17:59
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -9.08%E -5.67%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -4.65%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -12.86%E -3.14%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -10.21%E -6.46%K -17.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -5.75%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -8.61%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-18 17:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%4.2%2026-03-18 18:00
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%5.8%2026-03-18 18:00
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%5.8%2026-03-18 18:00
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%7.1%2026-03-18 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%7.1%2026-03-18 17:59
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%7.1%2026-03-18 18:00
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.33%3.21I 31.15%NM 28.67%8.7%2026-03-18 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%9.2%2026-03-18 18:00