The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

BIK Karlskoga v Modo Hockey

Kickoff: 2026-04-13 17:05 UTC

Final: BIK Karlskoga 4–1 Modo Hockey

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BIK Karlskoga (Local)

Prediction 41.77%2.39fair odd
EV -6.01%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly -4.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.34%41.77%41.66%42.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.202.202.2546.51%45.50%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Modo Hockey (Visit)

Prediction 34.23%2.92fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -0.853%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.36%34.23%34.45%34.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.692.702.8538.46%37.20%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.99%4.17fair odd
EV -4.02%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.26%23.99%23.89%24.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.944.004.0026.67%25.38%25.00%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BIK Karlskoga (Local): 41.77%; Modo Hockey (Visit): 34.23%; Draw: 23.99%. For Modo Hockey (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -2.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.

6 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -6.01%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.36%EV -2.43%E -0.853%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -6.42%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 16:59
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.34%EV -7.27%E -3.27%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.76%EV -9.62%E -3.64%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 23.90%EV -7.86%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-13 16:59
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.02%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 17:00
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.02%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.02%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.02%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.02%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 16:59
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.02%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.02%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.02%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.39%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 34.89%EV -10.65%E -4.08%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 23.72%EV -7.86%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-13 16:59
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.33%EV -10.19%E -4.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.34%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -6.42%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 17:00
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -10.19%E -4.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -10.99%E -4.23%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-13 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (6)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%6.1%2026-04-13 17:00
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%6.1%2026-04-13 16:59
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%7.0%2026-04-13 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%7.6%2026-04-13 17:00
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%7.6%2026-04-13 17:00
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%8.3%2026-04-13 16:59