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BIK Karlskoga v Modo Hockey

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BIK Karlskoga (Local)

Prediction 44.14%2.27fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -3.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.90%44.27%44.14%46.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.032.002.1751.28%49.37%50.00%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Modo Hockey (Visit)

Prediction 32.25%3.10fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.94%32.14%32.25%32.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.953.003.0036.36%33.94%33.33%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.61%4.24fair odd
EV -0.849%
Edge -0.202%
Kelly -0.265%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.22%23.59%23.61%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.084.204.2026.67%24.49%23.81%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BIK Karlskoga (Local): 44.14%; Modo Hockey (Visit): 32.25%; Draw: 23.61%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -0.849%; they did not produce positive expected value.

6 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.90%EV -4.21%E -1.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 15:50
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.91%EV -7.74%E -3.70%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.31%EV -8.41%E -2.96%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.78%EV -8.88%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 15:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -8.18%E -3.93%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.00%EV -8.62%E -4.17%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 32.41%EV -9.38%E -3.34%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.59%EV -8.88%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 15:44
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.71%E -5.86%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.25%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.849%E -0.202%K -0.265%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.71%E -5.86%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.25%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.849%E -0.202%K -0.265%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.71%E -5.86%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.25%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.849%E -0.202%K -0.265%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 15:35
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.71%E -5.86%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.25%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.849%E -0.202%K -0.265%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 15:35
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.71%E -5.86%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.25%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.849%E -0.202%K -0.265%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.71%E -5.86%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.25%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.849%E -0.202%K -0.265%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.71%E -5.86%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.25%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.849%E -0.202%K -0.265%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.71%E -5.86%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.25%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.849%E -0.202%K -0.265%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 15:34
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.71%E -5.86%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.17%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-03 15:49
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -13.92%E -7.14%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.94%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -3.21%E -0.783%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 15:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (6)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%6.1%2026-04-03 15:14
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%6.1%2026-04-03 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%7.1%2026-04-02 18:45
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%7.1%2026-04-02 18:45
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%7.2%2026-04-03 15:20
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%7.8%2026-04-03 15:55