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BIK Karlskoga v Modo Hockey

Kickoff: 2026-04-01 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BIK Karlskoga (Local)

Prediction 41.57%2.41fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -0.985%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.66%41.69%41.57%42.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.302.352.3546.51%43.56%42.55%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Modo Hockey (Visit)

Prediction 34.68%2.88fair odd
EV -4.63%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.87%34.59%34.68%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.552.482.7541.15%39.25%40.32%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.75%4.21fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.638%
Kelly -0.843%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.74%23.72%23.75%24.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.024.104.1026.67%24.89%24.39%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BIK Karlskoga (Local): 41.57%; Modo Hockey (Visit): 34.68%; Draw: 23.75%. For BIK Karlskoga (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -2.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%EV -2.32%E -0.985%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.59%EV -14.00%E -5.64%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -2.61%E -0.638%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 15:50
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%EV -2.32%E -0.985%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.59%EV -14.00%E -5.64%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -2.61%E -0.638%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%EV -2.32%E -0.985%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.59%EV -14.00%E -5.64%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -2.61%E -0.638%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 15:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%EV -2.32%E -0.985%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.59%EV -14.00%E -5.64%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -2.61%E -0.638%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%EV -2.32%E -0.985%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.59%EV -14.00%E -5.64%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -2.61%E -0.638%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 15:50
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%EV -2.32%E -0.985%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.59%EV -14.00%E -5.64%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -2.61%E -0.638%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%EV -2.32%E -0.985%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.59%EV -14.00%E -5.64%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -2.61%E -0.638%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 15:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%EV -2.32%E -0.985%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.59%EV -14.00%E -5.64%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -2.61%E -0.638%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 15:50
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 16:50
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.54%EV -15.73%E -6.47%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 15:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.79%EV -7.72%E -3.48%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.01%EV -8.10%E -3.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 16:50
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -9.83%E -3.78%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 16:49
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -9.80%E -4.51%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 33.87%EV -6.02%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 16:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.39%EV -10.63%E -4.94%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 33.88%EV -6.71%E -2.50%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 23.73%EV -8.79%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-01 16:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%6.3%2026-04-01 16:50
Betsson🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%6.3%2026-04-01 16:49
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%6.9%2026-04-01 16:30
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%8.1%2026-04-01 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%8.4%2026-04-01 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%8.4%2026-04-01 12:00
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%8.4%2026-04-01 12:00
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%8.4%2026-04-01 11:59