Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

BIK Karlskoga v Kalmar HC

2026-09-18 17:00 UTC — HockeyAllsvenskan

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BIK Karlskoga (Local)

Prediction 46.96%2.13fair odd
EV -5.15%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -5.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.42%46.96%46.96%47.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.921.992.022.0252.08%50.16%49.50%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kalmar HC (Visit)

Prediction 30.58%3.27fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.79%30.58%30.58%31.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.103.153.1533.90%32.21%31.75%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.47%4.45fair odd
EV -7.89%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -2.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.42%22.47%22.47%23.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.004.004.1025.97%24.97%25.00%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: BIK Karlskoga (Local): 46.96%; Kalmar HC (Visit): 30.58%; Draw: 22.47%. For Kalmar HC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.15, with an expected value of -3.68%; they do not produce positive expected value.

2 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.13%E -2.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.13%E -2.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.13%E -2.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 22:30
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.13%E -2.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 22:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.13%E -2.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.13%E -2.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 22:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.15%E -2.55%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -3.68%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -10.13%E -2.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42%EV -7.03%E -3.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -7.89%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 22:25
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.60%EV -8.43%E -4.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -13.50%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 22:30
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.33%EV -8.90%E -4.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.00%EV -6.44%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.67%EV -9.01%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 22:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -9.84%E -5.13%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 29.99%EV -7.05%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-14 22:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (2)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%5.4%2026-09-14 22:25
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%5.4%2026-09-14 22:30