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BIK Karlskoga v AIK

2026-11-13 18:00 UTC — HockeyAllsvenskan

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BIK Karlskoga (Local)

Prediction 29.21%3.42fair odd
EV -5.66%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -2.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.45%29.21%29.56%29.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.153.153.2332.79%31.80%31.75%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AIK (Visit)

Prediction 48.41%2.07fair odd
EV -7.53%
Edge -3.94%
Kelly -8.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.93%48.41%48.06%49.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.881.881.9154.05%53.26%53.33%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.38%4.47fair odd
EV -8.25%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -2.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.23%22.38%22.39%22.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.074.104.1025.00%24.54%24.39%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: BIK Karlskoga (Local): 29.21%; AIK (Visit): 48.41%; Draw: 22.38%. For BIK Karlskoga (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.23, with an expected value of -5.66%; they do not produce positive expected value.

3 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 28.45%EV -5.66%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.14%EV -9.47%E -5.06%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -8.25%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-12 06:09
Marathon Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -10.44%E -5.64%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -8.25%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-12 06:09
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -8.25%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-12 06:10
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -8.98%E -4.78%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -10.48%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-12 06:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (3)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%7.4%2026-11-12 06:10
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%8.0%2026-11-12 06:10
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 40.80%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.20%10.4%2026-11-12 06:10