The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Almtuna IS v Vimmerby HC

2026-10-23 17:00 UTC — HockeyAllsvenskan

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Almtuna IS (Local)

Prediction 51.29%1.95fair odd
EV -5.11%
Edge -2.76%
Kelly -6.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.67%51.34%51.29%52.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.811.811.8557.14%55.25%55.25%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vimmerby HC (Visit)

Prediction 26.94%3.71fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.42%26.91%26.94%27.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.423.453.5530.30%29.23%28.99%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.77%4.59fair odd
EV +2.31%
Edge +0.492%
Kelly +0.625%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.40%21.75%21.77%22.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.484.604.7024.39%22.34%21.74%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Almtuna IS (Local): 51.29%; Vimmerby HC (Visit): 26.94%; Draw: 21.77%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.59. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.70, producing a positive expected value of +2.31%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.79%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.40%EV +2.31%E +0.492%K +0.625%G +0.014%4.3%2026-10-21 21:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.79%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.40%EV +2.31%E +0.492%K +0.625%G +0.014%4.3%2026-10-21 21:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.79%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.40%EV +2.31%E +0.492%K +0.625%G +0.014%4.3%2026-10-21 21:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.79%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.40%EV +2.31%E +0.492%K +0.625%G +0.014%4.3%2026-10-21 21:15
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.93%EV -7.16%E -3.96%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV +0.134%E +0.029%K +0.037%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-21 21:15
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.93%EV -7.16%E -3.96%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV +0.134%E +0.029%K +0.037%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-21 21:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.93%EV -7.16%E -3.96%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV +0.134%E +0.029%K +0.037%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-21 21:15
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -10.24%E -5.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -4.22%E -0.959%K -1.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-21 21:15
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.38%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%EV -5.31%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-21 21:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.68%E -4.26%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.48%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-21 21:15
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.95%EV -9.22%E -5.21%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.42%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -7.48%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 21:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -10.24%E -5.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -7.48%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-21 21:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.67%EV -8.70%E -4.89%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -10.75%E -2.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-21 21:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%7.4%2026-10-21 21:20