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Almtuna IS v Modo Hockey

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Almtuna IS (Local)

Prediction 34.84%2.87fair odd
EV -5.92%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -3.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.62%35.11%34.81%36.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.572.552.7040.32%38.88%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Modo Hockey (Visit)

Prediction 42.27%2.37fair odd
EV -4.89%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -3.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.26%42.18%42.30%42.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.252.2547.62%45.09%44.44%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.88%4.37fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.371%
Kelly -0.484%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.75%22.71%22.89%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.154.254.3025.64%24.12%23.53%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Almtuna IS (Local): 34.84%; Modo Hockey (Visit): 42.27%; Draw: 22.88%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.30, with an expected value of -1.60%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.17%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 15:55
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 34.76%EV -8.01%E -3.03%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.71%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.75%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 34.89%EV -9.06%E -3.47%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.77%EV -7.85%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -10.75%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.70%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.16%EV -9.54%E -4.46%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -10.75%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-06 15:55
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -11.23%E -5.35%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -8.46%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-06 15:55
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.68%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -1.60%E -0.371%K -0.484%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 16:50
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -2.74%E -0.645%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -2.74%E -0.645%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -2.74%E -0.645%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 15:50
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -2.74%E -0.645%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 15:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -2.74%E -0.645%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 15:50
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -2.74%E -0.645%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -2.74%E -0.645%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 15:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -2.74%E -0.645%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 15:50
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -13.59%E -5.48%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -6.17%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%5.2%2026-03-06 17:00
NordicBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%5.2%2026-03-06 16:55
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%6.3%2026-03-06 13:19
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.54%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%6.9%2026-03-06 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%7.6%2026-03-05 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%7.6%2026-03-05 19:30
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%7.6%2026-03-05 19:30
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%7.6%2026-03-05 19:28
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%8.1%2026-03-06 15:55