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Almtuna IS v BIK Karlskoga

2026-09-25 17:00 UTC — HockeyAllsvenskan

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Almtuna IS (Local)

Prediction 26.30%3.80fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.21%26.82%26.30%29.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.523.503.6430.77%28.44%28.57%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BIK Karlskoga (Visit)

Prediction 52.15%1.92fair odd
EV +4.30%
Edge +2.15%
Kelly +4.30%
Growth +0.185%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.68%51.31%52.15%53.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.831.832.0058.14%54.76%54.64%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.55%4.64fair odd
EV -7.35%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.34%21.87%21.55%22.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.244.254.3024.39%23.59%23.53%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Almtuna IS (Local): 26.30%; BIK Karlskoga (Visit): 52.15%; Draw: 21.55%. For BIK Karlskoga (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.00, producing a positive expected value of +4.30%.

4 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -14.51%E -4.46%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.68%EV +4.30%E +2.15%K +4.30%G +0.185%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.98%EV -10.59%E -2.55%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-23 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -1.96%E -1.04%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -7.35%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-23 21:29
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -1.96%E -1.04%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -7.35%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-23 21:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -1.96%E -1.04%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -7.35%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-23 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -1.96%E -1.04%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -7.35%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-23 21:30
Unibet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -4.04%E -2.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -8.43%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-23 21:30
Grosvenor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -4.57%E -2.49%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -8.43%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-23 21:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -4.57%E -2.49%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -8.43%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-23 21:30
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -7.17%E -4.03%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -11.66%E -2.84%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-23 21:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -8.74%E -4.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.35%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-23 21:25
1xBet🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 25.26%EV -4.25%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -9.26%E -5.32%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.51%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-23 21:24
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -9.78%E -5.65%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -9.51%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-23 21:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 25.21%EV -4.78%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.06%EV -10.30%E -5.99%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -9.51%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-23 21:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (4)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%5.1%2026-09-23 21:24
NordicBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%5.1%2026-09-23 21:24
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%7.9%2026-09-23 21:25
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 37.11%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%10.4%2026-09-23 21:25