Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.70
assuming max odds 2.49
assuming max odds 4.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AIK (Local): 37.92%; IK Oskarshamn (Visit): 39.91%; Draw: 22.17%. For AIK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.39%.
9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.81%EV +2.39%E +0.886%K +1.41%G +0.034% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -16.19%E -7.71%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV +1.96%E +0.426%K +0.545%G +0.011% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.81%EV -1.40%E -0.539%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.15%EV -18.18%E -8.87%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.05%EV -4.69%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -8.99%E -3.74%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.80%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 17:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.29%EV -12.02%E -5.18%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.47%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.47%E -0.562%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.29%EV -12.02%E -5.18%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.47%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.47%E -0.562%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.29%EV -12.02%E -5.18%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.47%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.47%E -0.562%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.29%EV -12.02%E -5.18%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.47%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.47%E -0.562%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.29%EV -12.02%E -5.18%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.47%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.47%E -0.562%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.29%EV -12.02%E -5.18%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.47%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.47%E -0.562%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.29%EV -12.02%E -5.18%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.47%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.47%E -0.562%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -12.02%E -5.18%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.37%EV -3.01%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -3.58%E -0.823%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.95%EV -13.54%E -5.94%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.58%EV -0.620%E -0.249%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.47%EV -14.00%E -3.61%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.95%EV -13.54%E -5.94%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.58%EV -0.620%E -0.249%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.47%EV -14.00%E -3.61%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 17:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -14.67%E -6.52%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -5.01%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.39%EV -5.80%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -14.67%E -6.52%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.51%EV -1.42%E -0.574%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -14.66%E -3.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 17:58 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 17:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30% | 8.4% | 2026-03-06 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30% | 8.4% | 2026-03-06 17:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30% | 8.4% | 2026-03-06 17:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30% | 8.4% | 2026-03-06 17:59 |