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AIK v Almtuna IS
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AIK (Local)
assuming max odds 1.83
Almtuna IS (Visit)
assuming max odds 4.25
Draw
assuming max odds 4.35
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AIK (Local): 53.19%; Almtuna IS (Visit): 25.12%; Draw: 21.69%. For Almtuna IS (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.75%.
9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -15.96%E -10.10%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV +6.75%E +1.59%K +2.08%G +0.140% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.93%EV -5.64%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-23 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -6.73%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-23 17:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.42%EV -8.51%E -4.95%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.70%EV -6.56%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.90%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-23 17:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.03%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -8.32%E -2.28%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89%EV -5.64%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 17:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -5.64%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-23 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -5.64%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-23 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -5.64%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-23 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -5.64%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-23 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -5.64%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-23 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -5.64%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-23 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -5.64%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-23 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -9.04%E -5.29%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-23 18:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.85%EV -9.04%E -5.29%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.07%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-23 18:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.83%E -3.05%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -6.73%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-23 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -7.45%E -4.28%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -8.90%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-23 18:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25% | 5.1% | 2026-02-23 17:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25% | 5.1% | 2026-02-23 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78% | 6.5% | 2026-02-23 17:57 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22% | 8.0% | 2026-02-23 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15% | 8.5% | 2026-02-23 17:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15% | 8.5% | 2026-02-23 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15% | 8.5% | 2026-02-23 17:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15% | 8.5% | 2026-02-23 18:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.99% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.01% | 10.6% | 2026-02-23 18:00 |