The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Seattle Kraken v Calgary Flames

Kickoff: 2026-09-25 01:48 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Kraken (Local)

Prediction 73.27%1.36fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -7.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.06%73.30%73.32%74.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.301.311.3379.37%76.86%76.34%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Calgary Flames (Visit)

Prediction 26.73%3.74fair odd
EV +1.58%
Edge +0.417%
Kelly +0.565%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.34%26.70%26.68%27.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.553.603.8029.41%28.15%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Kraken (Local): 73.27%; Calgary Flames (Visit): 26.73%. For Calgary Flames (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.58%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.58%E +0.417%K +0.565%G +0.009%3.8%2026-09-24 22:35
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 18:50
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 19:05
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 01:40
Fanatics🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.75%E -3.66%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 22:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-25 01:40
ReBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -8.04%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 20:15
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06%EV -2.55%E -1.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.94%EV -8.31%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 21:25
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.68%E -6.10%K -29.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-24 19:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.