Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Jose Sharks v Anaheim Ducks

Kickoff: 2026-09-25 02:08 UTC

Final: San Jose Sharks 10–0 Anaheim Ducks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Jose Sharks (Local)

Prediction 70.54%1.42fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -6.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.33%70.54%70.50%71.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.351.351.3875.76%74.13%74.07%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anaheim Ducks (Visit)

Prediction 29.46%3.39fair odd
EV +0.156%
Edge +0.046%
Kelly +0.065%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.27%29.46%29.50%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.233.243.4032.79%30.92%30.91%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Jose Sharks (Local): 70.54%; Anaheim Ducks (Visit): 29.46%. For Anaheim Ducks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.156%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +0.156%E +0.046%K +0.065%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-25 02:05
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.47%E -4.08%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.32%E -0.393%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-25 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.06%E -2.99%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.79%E -0.846%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-25 02:05
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.06%E -2.99%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 02:05
Bovada🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 02:02
ReBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -5.15%E -1.60%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 22:00
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.06%E -2.99%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 21:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-25 02:04
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -2.65%E -1.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -8.09%E -2.59%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-25 00:10
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -6.88%E -5.22%K -21.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-24 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.