The School of Odds
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Philadelphia Flyers v Washington Capitals

2026-09-26 21:00 UTC — NHL Preseason

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Flyers (Local)

Prediction 72.09%1.39fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -10.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.55%72.22%71.92%73.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.321.331.3480.00%75.97%75.47%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Capitals (Visit)

Prediction 27.91%3.58fair odd
EV -0.905%
Edge -0.255%
Kelly -0.355%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.60%27.78%28.08%28.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.373.453.453.5529.67%28.98%29.03%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Philadelphia Flyers (Local): 72.09%; Washington Capitals (Visit): 27.91%. For Washington Capitals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.55, with an expected value of -0.905%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.97%EV -3.41%E -2.54%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.03%EV -3.98%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-26 17:10
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.41%E -2.54%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-26 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.41%E -2.54%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.93%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 17:10
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 17:24
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.30%E -0.657%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 18:34
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.57%E -4.25%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.30%E -0.657%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-26 17:44
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.905%E -0.255%K -0.355%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -9.89%E -7.91%K -39.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -3.70%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-26 17:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.