The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Philadelphia Flyers v Boston Bruins

Kickoff: 2026-09-24 23:08 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Flyers 2–0 Boston Bruins

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Flyers (Local)

Prediction 71.72%1.39fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -9.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.98%71.61%71.73%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.331.341.3576.92%74.96%74.63%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Bruins (Visit)

Prediction 28.28%3.54fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%28.39%28.27%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.383.4132.26%30.17%29.59%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Flyers (Local): 71.72%; Boston Bruins (Visit): 28.28%. For Philadelphia Flyers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.35, with an expected value of -3.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.17%E -2.35%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 20:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -3.89%E -2.90%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -3.58%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 15:05
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.89%E -2.90%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 15:04
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.89%E -2.90%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 19:55
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -3.89%E -2.90%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV -4.99%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 18:10
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -3.89%E -2.90%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -7.25%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-24 22:45
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-24 19:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.61%E -3.46%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-24 19:15
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.76%E -5.20%K -22.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-24 19:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.