The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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New York Islanders v New Jersey Devils

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 23:38 UTC

Final: New York Islanders 1–4 New Jersey Devils

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Islanders (Local)

Prediction 43.90%2.28fair odd
EV -0.789%
Edge -0.349%
Kelly -0.626%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%43.98%44.07%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.172.2648.78%46.25%46.08%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Jersey Devils (Visit)

Prediction 56.10%1.78fair odd
EV -0.701%
Edge -0.396%
Kelly -0.910%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%56.02%55.93%57.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.701.701.7760.98%58.79%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Islanders (Local): 43.90%; New Jersey Devils (Visit): 56.10%. For New Jersey Devils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.77, with an expected value of -0.701%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -0.789%E -0.349%K -0.626%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -5.75%E -3.42%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 22:00
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.23%E -0.546%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.31%E -3.78%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 23:32
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.63%E -2.72%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 19:19
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.19%E -3.07%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 19:25
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.74%E -2.18%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 22:00
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.07%E -2.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 16:15
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.701%E -0.396%K -0.910%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 23:30
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -8.69%E -4.18%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.91%EV -7.99%E -4.87%K -12.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-26 15:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.01%E -4.88%K -9.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.38%E -1.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.