Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Jersey Devils v New York Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-09-21 23:08 UTC

Final: New Jersey Devils 3–2 New York Rangers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Jersey Devils (Local)

Prediction 75.68%1.32fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -11.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.95%75.71%75.55%76.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.261.271.2883.33%79.44%78.74%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 24.32%4.11fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -0.683%
Kelly -0.910%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.53%24.29%24.45%25.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.883.904.0026.67%25.75%25.64%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Jersey Devils (Local): 75.68%; New York Rangers (Visit): 24.32%. For New York Rangers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -2.73%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.13%E -2.44%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -6.38%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-21 21:35
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.88%E -3.06%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.95%E -0.999%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-21 16:09
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.88%E -3.06%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.16%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-21 16:09
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.88%E -3.06%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.16%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-21 16:15
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.88%E -3.06%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.16%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-21 20:10
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.88%E -3.06%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.59%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-21 19:09
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.40%E -4.32%K -21.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.73%E -0.683%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.40%E -4.32%K -21.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.81%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-21 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -9.18%E -7.65%K -45.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.16%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-21 17:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.