The School of Odds
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Nashville Predators v Tampa Bay Lightning

2026-09-23 00:10 UTC — NHL Preseason

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nashville Predators (Local)

Prediction 65.55%1.53fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -6.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.01%65.63%65.57%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.451.461.4872.46%68.81%68.49%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Lightning (Visit)

Prediction 34.45%2.90fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%34.37%34.43%34.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.772.772.8037.04%36.13%36.10%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Nashville Predators (Local): 65.55%; Tampa Bay Lightning (Visit): 34.45%. For Nashville Predators (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.53. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.48, with an expected value of -2.98%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.98%E -2.02%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-22 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -2.98%E -2.02%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -4.58%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-22 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.98%E -2.02%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-22 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.29%E -2.94%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-22 16:35
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -4.29%E -2.94%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -5.61%E -2.05%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-22 16:34
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-22 17:06
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.61%E -3.89%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-22 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -9.54%E -6.91%K -25.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-22 16:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.