Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Wild v Dallas Stars

2026-09-26 00:00 UTC — NHL Preseason

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Wild (Local)

Prediction 54.87%1.82fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.05%54.87%54.97%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.741.741.7758.82%57.40%57.47%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dallas Stars (Visit)

Prediction 45.13%2.22fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%45.13%45.03%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.1550.00%47.64%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Minnesota Wild (Local): 54.87%; Dallas Stars (Visit): 45.13%. For Minnesota Wild (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.77, with an expected value of -2.89%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.89%E -1.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 16:37
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.89%E -1.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 18:15
ReBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.43%E -1.95%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.12%E -2.94%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-25 16:39
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.98%E -2.28%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.32%E -2.04%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 16:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.53%E -2.60%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-25 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.53%E -2.60%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.42%E -1.60%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-25 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.53%E -2.60%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-25 17:24
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 19:35
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-25 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.