Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Kings v Anaheim Ducks

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 20:08 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Kings 6–2 Anaheim Ducks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Kings (Local)

Prediction 58.42%1.71fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -4.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%58.40%58.35%59.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.641.651.6664.10%61.10%60.61%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anaheim Ducks (Visit)

Prediction 41.58%2.41fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.975%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.94%41.60%41.65%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.282.302.3545.45%43.86%43.48%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Kings (Local): 58.42%; Anaheim Ducks (Visit): 41.58%. For Anaheim Ducks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -2.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.02%E -1.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -6.03%E -2.67%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.60%E -2.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.29%E -0.975%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-26 15:55
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.60%E -2.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.37%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 15:55
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.60%E -2.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.37%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 16:04
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.60%E -2.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.37%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 18:34
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.60%E -2.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 20:05
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.19%E -2.55%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.95%E -1.71%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 19:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-26 20:04
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -8.86%E -5.68%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-26 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.