The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Edmonton Oilers v Winnipeg Jets

Kickoff: 2026-09-20 00:08 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Edmonton Oilers (Local)

Prediction 73.01%1.37fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -8.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.94%73.02%72.98%74.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.291.301.3380.65%77.25%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Winnipeg Jets (Visit)

Prediction 26.99%3.71fair odd
EV -0.138%
Edge -0.037%
Kelly -0.051%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%26.98%27.02%28.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.533.563.7029.85%28.33%28.09%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Edmonton Oilers (Local): 73.01%; Winnipeg Jets (Visit): 26.99%. For Winnipeg Jets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -0.138%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.94%EV -2.90%E -2.18%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.06%EV -7.97%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 23:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -3.63%E -2.75%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -3.92%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-19 21:04
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.63%E -2.75%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.89%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 23:19
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.36%E -3.33%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.84%E -0.788%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 18:19
Caesars🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.09%E -3.91%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.84%E -0.788%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 20:38
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.82%E -4.51%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.138%E -0.037%K -0.051%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 20:24
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.28%E -5.73%K -26.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -2.84%E -0.788%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 00:01
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.28%E -5.73%K -26.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 20:24
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.98%EV -9.47%E -7.63%K -39.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 00:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.