The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Detroit Red Wings v Columbus Blue Jackets

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 23:09 UTC

Final: Detroit Red Wings 2–4 Columbus Blue Jackets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Red Wings (Local)

Prediction 46.98%2.13fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.07%46.88%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.022.022.0551.02%49.56%49.50%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Columbus Blue Jackets (Visit)

Prediction 53.02%1.89fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -3.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%52.93%53.12%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.801.801.8357.80%55.59%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Red Wings (Local): 46.98%; Columbus Blue Jackets (Visit): 53.02%. For Columbus Blue Jackets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -2.98%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.68%E -1.80%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.57%E -2.54%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.68%E -1.80%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.57%E -2.54%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 15:25
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.68%E -1.80%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.57%E -2.54%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 16:20
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.62%E -2.28%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.04%E -2.23%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 19:25
DraftKings🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.09%E -2.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.51%E -1.93%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 15:25
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.98%E -1.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 18:50
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.98%E -1.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 18:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 17:35
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -7.91%E -4.04%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -8.28%E -4.79%K -11.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-26 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.