The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Columbus Blue Jackets v Pittsburgh Penguins

Kickoff: 2026-09-24 23:08 UTC

Final: Columbus Blue Jackets 4–0 Pittsburgh Penguins

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbus Blue Jackets (Local)

Prediction 70.28%1.42fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -10.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.91%70.32%70.18%70.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.361.3776.92%73.86%73.53%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Penguins (Visit)

Prediction 29.72%3.36fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.578%
Kelly -0.830%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.18%29.68%29.82%30.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.193.203.3032.26%31.31%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Columbus Blue Jackets (Local): 70.28%; Pittsburgh Penguins (Visit): 29.72%. For Pittsburgh Penguins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -1.91%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.72%E -2.72%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -4.29%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 15:05
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -3.72%E -2.72%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 18:10
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.72%E -2.72%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-24 15:04
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.43%E -3.25%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.91%E -0.578%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-24 22:15
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.43%E -3.25%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 15:10
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.43%E -3.25%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 20:22
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.43%E -3.25%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 18:10
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -4.43%E -3.25%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -6.07%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 22:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.85%E -2.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-24 17:15
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-24 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.