The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Chicago Blackhawks v Minnesota Wild

Kickoff: 2026-09-22 00:08 UTC

Final: Chicago Blackhawks 4–3 Minnesota Wild

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Blackhawks (Local)

Prediction 67.65%1.48fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -7.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.97%67.68%67.69%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.401.411.4374.07%71.43%70.92%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Wild (Visit)

Prediction 32.35%3.09fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.542%
Kelly -0.808%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%32.32%32.31%33.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.902.962.953.0434.48%33.78%33.90%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Blackhawks (Local): 67.65%; Minnesota Wild (Visit): 32.35%. For Minnesota Wild (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.04, with an expected value of -1.65%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.26%E -2.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-21 16:44
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.26%E -2.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-21 23:00
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.26%E -2.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-21 21:09
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.94%E -2.78%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 16:42
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.62%E -3.27%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 16:19
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -5.97%E -4.30%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -1.65%E -0.542%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 19:09
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.65%E -4.82%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 16:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 16:19
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -8.68%E -6.43%K -24.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-21 16:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.