The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Buffalo Sabres v Columbus Blue Jackets

Kickoff: 2026-09-22 23:08 UTC

Final: Buffalo Sabres 5–1 Columbus Blue Jackets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Sabres (Local)

Prediction 73.05%1.37fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -8.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.58%72.96%73.32%73.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.311.311.3378.74%76.48%76.34%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Columbus Blue Jackets (Visit)

Prediction 26.95%3.71fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -0.828%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.53%27.04%26.68%28.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.493.533.6030.30%28.65%28.37%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Buffalo Sabres (Local): 73.05%; Columbus Blue Jackets (Visit): 26.95%. For Buffalo Sabres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.33, with an expected value of -2.84%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -2.84%E -2.14%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -7.02%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-22 23:05
ReBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.57%E -2.71%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -7.83%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 22:10
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.30%E -3.29%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.98%E -0.828%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-22 21:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.30%E -3.29%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.98%E -0.828%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-22 21:05
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.30%E -3.29%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.98%E -0.828%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-22 21:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.30%E -3.29%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-22 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.98%E -0.828%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-22 21:00
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -7.23%E -5.69%K -26.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.72%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-22 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.