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Winnipeg Jets v Vegas Golden Knights
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Winnipeg Jets (Local)
Prediction 45.93%2.18fair odd
EV +0.129%
Edge +0.059%
Kelly +0.109%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.96%45.77%45.76%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.082.102.1852.08%48.07%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Vegas Golden Knights (Visit)
Prediction 54.07%1.85fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.575%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%54.23%54.24%56.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.761.771.8361.73%56.75%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Winnipeg Jets (Local): 45.93%; Vegas Golden Knights (Visit): 54.07%. For Winnipeg Jets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.177. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.180, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.129%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV +0.129%E +0.059%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.71%E -0.798%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.63%E -1.24%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.63%E -1.24%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.63%E -1.24%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 23:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.05%E -0.575%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.67%E -1.49%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.67%E -1.49%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 23:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.55%E -1.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.46%E -3.73%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.92%E -2.38%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.38%E -2.61%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.76%E -2.11%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.38%E -2.61%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.67%E -1.49%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.67%E -1.49%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 23:57 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.67%E -1.49%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.67%E -1.49%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-24 23:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.84%E -2.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-24 23:58 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.76%EV -11.81%E -6.15%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.24%EV -12.41%E -7.66%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-24 23:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98% | 0.1% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| Novig◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 0.9% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 1.5% | 2026-03-24 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04% | 1.7% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.0% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83% | 3.1% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83% | 3.1% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83% | 3.1% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.05% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83% | 3.1% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.29% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 23:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.82% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.37% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.02% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.94% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.20% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.60% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 23:58 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 23:58 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01% | 6.8% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.13% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83% | 6.8% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74% | 7.3% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11% | 8.2% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33% | 8.5% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.77% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56% | 8.8% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.61% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.88% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52% | 9.0% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.53% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30% | 9.4% | 2026-03-24 23:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.77% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18% | 10.6% | 2026-03-25 00:00 |