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Winnipeg Jets v Tampa Bay Lightning

2026-11-08 23:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Winnipeg Jets (Local)

Prediction 42.68%2.34fair odd
EV -0.975%
Edge -0.420%
Kelly -0.739%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.00%42.66%42.60%43.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.252.3247.62%44.78%44.44%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Lightning (Visit)

Prediction 57.32%1.74fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -4.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.70%57.34%57.40%58.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.671.671.6963.69%59.94%59.88%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Winnipeg Jets (Local): 42.68%; Tampa Bay Lightning (Visit): 57.32%. For Winnipeg Jets (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.32, with an expected value of -0.975%; they do not produce positive expected value.

20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -0.975%E -0.420%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.6%2026-11-08 16:30
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.83%E -0.795%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-08 15:40
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.83%E -0.795%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-08 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.68%E -1.18%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-08 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.68%E -1.18%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-08 15:35
Bet Right🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.54%E -1.56%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-08 16:15
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-08 15:35
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-08 16:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-08 15:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-08 16:00
BetAnything🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-08 15:35
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.13%E -1.85%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-08 15:55
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 15:55
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 16:15
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 16:15
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 16:13
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 16:15
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 15:55
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 15:55
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 15:40
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 15:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.43%E -3.29%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 16:04
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.39%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-08 11:04
SportsBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.82%E -2.16%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.85%E -2.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 15:55
NordicBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.67%E -2.57%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 15:55
Betsson🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.67%E -2.57%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 16:00
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 16:30
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 11:05
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 04:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 16:34
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 04:20
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 04:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.28%E -2.56%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 04:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.43%E -3.29%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-08 15:40
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.43%E -3.29%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-08 15:39
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.72%E -4.80%K -12.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-08 16:00
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.72%E -4.80%K -12.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-08 16:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.01%E -6.38%K -17.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-08 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.35I 42.55%NM 42.54%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.46%0.0%2026-11-08 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-11-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-11-08 16:40
ProphetX◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-11-08 16:10
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-11-08 16:40
Polymarket◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-11-08 16:10
Novig◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-11-08 16:45
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%1.9%2026-11-08 16:40
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.1%2026-11-08 16:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.79%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.17%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-11-08 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.79%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.17%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-11-08 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.79%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.17%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-11-08 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.79%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.17%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-11-08 16:15
1xBet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 32.10%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.72%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.18%3.2%2026-11-08 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.29%4.3%2026-11-08 16:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.06%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.72%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.7%2026-11-08 16:15
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.7%2026-11-08 16:25
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-11-08 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-11-08 16:15
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-11-08 16:15
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.05%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%6.4%2026-11-08 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-11-08 09:50
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-11-08 15:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%9.1%2026-11-08 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%9.5%2026-11-08 15:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.83%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%10.8%2026-11-08 16:30
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.60%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.43%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%11.0%2026-11-08 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.41%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.13%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%12.2%2026-11-08 16:28
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%13.2%2026-11-08 16:30

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