L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.03
avec la cote maximale 1.93
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.151%E -0.074%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.47%E -2.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.63%E -0.813%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.01%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-15 19:03 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -2.12%E -1.06%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -4.47%E -2.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-15 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -2.12%E -1.06%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -4.47%E -2.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Betsson | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.10%E -1.57%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.50%E -3.53%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 19:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.10%E -1.57%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.50%E -3.53%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| ReBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.59%E -1.83%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.96%E -2.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.59%E -1.83%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.47%E -2.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.09%E -2.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.98%E -2.66%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 17:29 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.09%E -2.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.98%E -2.66%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 17:26 |
| GTbets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.09%E -2.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.98%E -2.66%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 17:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.09%E -2.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.98%E -2.66%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.09%E -2.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.98%E -2.66%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 18:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.09%E -2.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.00%E -3.24%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 17:45 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.09%E -2.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.00%E -3.24%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 17:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.09%E -2.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.00%E -3.24%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 18:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.09%E -2.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.54%E -4.74%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.07%E -2.63%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.96%E -2.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.56%E -2.90%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.47%E -2.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 18:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 19:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.96%E -2.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.98%E -2.66%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 18:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.55%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.45%E -1.82%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| betPARX | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.04%E -3.72%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.93%E -1.00%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.04%E -3.72%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.93%E -1.00%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.53%E -4.00%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.93%E -1.00%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 15:34 |
| Neds | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.53%E -4.00%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.53%E -4.00%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -12.45%E -6.99%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -12.09%E -6.99%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-15 19:00 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.87% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.13% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Novig | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.87% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.13% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-15 19:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 1.3% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 1.3% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.4% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| BetOpenly | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.4% | 2026-03-15 18:59 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.61% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.61% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.61% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 15:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.61% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.10% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.37% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.53% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.49% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.59% | 4.6% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.59% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.12% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.29% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 18:59 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 15:34 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.65% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.65% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 15:34 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05% | 8.5% | 2026-03-15 19:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.25% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.66% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87% | 9.3% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.25% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.03% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72% | 10.9% | 2026-03-15 19:00 |