La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.03
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.151%E -0.074%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.47%E -2.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.63%E -0.813%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.01%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-15 19:03 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -2.12%E -1.06%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -4.47%E -2.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-15 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -2.12%E -1.06%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -4.47%E -2.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Betsson | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.10%E -1.57%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.50%E -3.53%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 19:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.10%E -1.57%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.50%E -3.53%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| ReBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.59%E -1.83%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.96%E -2.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.59%E -1.83%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.47%E -2.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.09%E -2.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.98%E -2.66%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 17:29 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.09%E -2.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.98%E -2.66%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 17:26 |
| GTbets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.09%E -2.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.98%E -2.66%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 17:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.09%E -2.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.98%E -2.66%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.09%E -2.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.98%E -2.66%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 18:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.09%E -2.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.00%E -3.24%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 17:45 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.09%E -2.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.00%E -3.24%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 17:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.09%E -2.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.00%E -3.24%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 18:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.09%E -2.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.54%E -4.74%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.07%E -2.63%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.96%E -2.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.56%E -2.90%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.47%E -2.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 18:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 19:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.96%E -2.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.05%E -3.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.98%E -2.66%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 18:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.55%E -3.44%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.45%E -1.82%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| betPARX | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.04%E -3.72%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.93%E -1.00%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.04%E -3.72%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.93%E -1.00%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.53%E -4.00%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.93%E -1.00%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 15:34 |
| Neds | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.53%E -4.00%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.53%E -4.00%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -12.45%E -6.99%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -12.09%E -6.99%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-15 19:00 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.87% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.13% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Novig | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.87% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.13% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-15 19:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 1.3% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 1.3% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.4% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| BetOpenly | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.4% | 2026-03-15 18:59 |
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.61% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.61% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.61% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 15:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.61% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.10% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.37% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.53% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.49% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.59% | 4.6% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.59% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.12% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.29% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 18:59 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 15:34 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.65% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.65% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 15:34 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05% | 8.5% | 2026-03-15 19:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.25% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.66% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87% | 9.3% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.25% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.03% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72% | 10.9% | 2026-03-15 19:00 |