The School of Odds
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Winnipeg Jets v Boston Bruins

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 00:17 UTC

Final: Winnipeg Jets 3–4 Boston Bruins

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Winnipeg Jets (Local)

Prediction 52.18%1.92fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.12%52.22%54.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.831.831.8758.14%54.74%54.64%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Bruins (Visit)

Prediction 47.82%2.09fair odd
EV -0.052%
Edge -0.025%
Kelly -0.048%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.57%47.88%47.78%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.992.002.0953.19%50.34%50.13%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Winnipeg Jets (Local): 52.18%; Boston Bruins (Visit): 47.82%. For Boston Bruins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.091. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.090, with an expected value of -0.052%; they did not produce positive expected value.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -3.88%E -1.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-02 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -3.88%E -1.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-02 23:10
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 23:15
Everygame🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 22:59
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.95%E -1.59%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.96%E -0.958%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-02 23:55
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.88%E -1.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-02 23:05
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 00:07
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 00:00
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 00:00
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 23:57
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.99%E -2.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.88%E -1.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-02 20:55
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 00:05
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 00:05
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.88%E -1.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 15:10
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-03 00:09
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 16:49
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 16:50
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 21:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 17:40
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 00:09
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 20:40
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 00:10
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 00:05
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 00:05
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 19:05
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-01 17:09
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.04%E -2.77%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.83%E -2.43%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-02 21:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 02:30
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 02:25
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 00:09
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 00:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -8.69%E -4.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -0.052%E -0.025%K -0.048%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 00:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -10.25%E -5.96%K -14.24%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -10.09%E -5.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-02 19:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%0.6%2026-10-03 00:15
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-10-03 00:10
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-10-03 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-10-03 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-10-03 00:10
BetOpenly◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-10-02 23:59
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-10-03 00:00
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%4.9%2026-10-03 00:10
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%5.8%2026-10-03 00:15

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.56%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.90%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%3.2%2026-10-03 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.56%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.90%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%3.2%2026-10-03 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.56%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.90%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%3.2%2026-10-03 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.56%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.90%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%3.2%2026-10-03 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.87%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.80%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.34%4.5%2026-10-03 00:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.18%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.78%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04%4.6%2026-10-02 23:59
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.28%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.15%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.57%4.7%2026-10-02 23:50
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.12%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46%5.3%2026-10-03 00:00
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%5.7%2026-10-03 00:05
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%5.7%2026-10-03 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%5.7%2026-10-03 00:05
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%5.7%2026-10-03 00:05
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%6.5%2026-10-02 22:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-10-02 06:10
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%8.5%2026-10-03 00:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%9.5%2026-10-02 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.22%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%9.7%2026-10-03 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%11.6%2026-10-03 00:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.32%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%13.0%2026-10-03 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%14.0%2026-10-03 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%14.1%2026-10-02 23:50