La scuola delle quote

Washington Capitals v Vegas Golden Knights

Inizio: 2026-02-28 00:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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35 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Washington Capitals (Casa)

Previsione 51.58%1.94quota equa
EV -1.49%
Vantaggio -0.780%
Kelly -1.64%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%51.47%51.44%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.711.851.851.9158.48%54.11%54.05%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vegas Golden Knights (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.42%2.07quota equa
EV -2.18%
Vantaggio -1.08%
Kelly -2.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.37%48.53%48.56%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.811.961.952.0255.25%51.02%51.28%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.49%E -0.780%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.51%E -3.93%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 00:04
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.01%E -1.06%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.67%E -1.33%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-02-27 22:44
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.01%E -1.06%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.99%E -4.21%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 00:05
Everygame1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.52%E -1.33%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.54%E -3.39%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 20:18
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 12:19
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 12:25
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 12:20
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 23:54
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 12:34
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -4.07%E -2.19%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -2.18%E -1.08%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-27 23:54
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -4.07%E -2.19%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -2.18%E -1.08%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-27 23:54
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.07%E -2.19%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 22:45
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.07%E -2.19%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.06%E -3.12%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 18:39
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 23:39
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.61%E -2.34%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 23:49
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.61%E -2.34%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 23:54
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.61%E -2.34%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 23:54
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.09%E -2.60%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 23:49
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 11:34
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 12:25
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 12:23
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.03%E -3.66%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 12:20
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.03%E -3.66%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 12:25
Betsson1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.10%E -2.77%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.61%E -2.34%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 00:04
NordicBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.10%E -2.77%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.61%E -2.34%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 00:04
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.62%E -3.07%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 13:00
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.62%E -3.07%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 23:43
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.62%E -3.07%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 17:59
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.62%E -3.07%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 18:39
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.62%E -3.07%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 23:04
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 17:59
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 00:01
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 00:04
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -11.80%E -6.90%K -16.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -12.35%E -6.82%K -15.25%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-27 23:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-02-28 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-02-28 00:05
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-02-28 00:04
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.1%2026-02-28 00:04
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-02-28 00:04
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-02-28 00:04
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-02-28 00:04
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-02-27 22:34

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-02-27 23:49
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-02-27 23:49
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-02-27 23:54
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-02-27 23:49
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.23%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%4.1%2026-02-28 00:04
Marathon Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.81%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.17%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.02%4.7%2026-02-27 22:51
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%4.7%2026-02-27 23:54
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%5.3%2026-02-27 23:54
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%5.6%2026-02-27 23:54
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%5.6%2026-02-27 23:49
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%5.6%2026-02-27 23:54
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%5.6%2026-02-27 23:54
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%6.8%2026-02-27 23:54
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-02-27 18:54
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.77%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.07%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-02-27 23:54
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%8.3%2026-02-28 00:05
Codere (IT)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.48%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%8.7%2026-02-27 18:40
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%9.5%2026-02-28 00:04
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.38%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%9.8%2026-02-28 00:02
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%9.9%2026-02-27 23:49
Unibet (FR)2.29I 43.67%NM 39.35%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.24%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%11.0%2026-02-27 23:54
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.57%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.29%14.6%2026-02-28 00:04