L’École des cotes

Washington Capitals v Vegas Golden Knights

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 00:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Capitals (Local)

Prévision 51.58%1.94cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.780%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.47%51.44%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.851.851.9158.48%54.11%54.05%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vegas Golden Knights (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.42%2.07cote équitable
EV -2.18%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -2.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.37%48.53%48.56%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.811.961.952.0255.25%51.02%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.49%E -0.780%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.51%E -3.93%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 00:04
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.01%E -1.06%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.67%E -1.33%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-02-27 22:44
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.01%E -1.06%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.99%E -4.21%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 00:05
Everygame1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.52%E -1.33%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.54%E -3.39%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 20:18
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 12:19
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 12:25
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 12:20
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 23:54
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 12:34
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -4.07%E -2.19%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -2.18%E -1.08%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-27 23:54
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -4.07%E -2.19%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -2.18%E -1.08%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-27 23:54
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.07%E -2.19%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 22:45
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.07%E -2.19%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.06%E -3.12%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 18:39
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 23:39
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.61%E -2.34%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 23:49
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.61%E -2.34%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 23:54
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.61%E -2.34%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 23:54
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.09%E -2.60%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 23:49
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 11:34
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 12:25
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 12:23
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.03%E -3.66%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 12:20
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.03%E -3.66%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 12:25
Betsson1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.10%E -2.77%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.61%E -2.34%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 00:04
NordicBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.10%E -2.77%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.61%E -2.34%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 00:04
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.62%E -3.07%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 13:00
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.62%E -3.07%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 23:43
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.62%E -3.07%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 17:59
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.62%E -3.07%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 18:39
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.62%E -3.07%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 23:04
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 17:59
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 00:01
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.57%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 00:04
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -11.80%E -6.90%K -16.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -12.35%E -6.82%K -15.25%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-27 23:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-02-28 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-02-28 00:05
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-02-28 00:04
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.1%2026-02-28 00:04
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-02-28 00:04
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-02-28 00:04
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-02-28 00:04
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-02-27 22:34

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-02-27 23:49
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-02-27 23:49
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-02-27 23:54
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.96%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-02-27 23:49
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.23%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%4.1%2026-02-28 00:04
Marathon Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.81%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.17%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.02%4.7%2026-02-27 22:51
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%4.7%2026-02-27 23:54
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%5.3%2026-02-27 23:54
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%5.6%2026-02-27 23:54
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%5.6%2026-02-27 23:49
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%5.6%2026-02-27 23:54
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%5.6%2026-02-27 23:54
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%6.8%2026-02-27 23:54
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-02-27 18:54
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.77%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.07%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-02-27 23:54
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%8.3%2026-02-28 00:05
Codere (IT)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.48%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%8.7%2026-02-27 18:40
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%9.5%2026-02-28 00:04
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.38%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%9.8%2026-02-28 00:02
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%9.9%2026-02-27 23:49
Unibet (FR)2.29I 43.67%NM 39.35%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.24%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%11.0%2026-02-27 23:54
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.57%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.29%14.6%2026-02-28 00:04