Washington Capitals v Pittsburgh Penguins

2026-10-07 23:40 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

58%

42%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Washington Capitals (Local)

Prediction 58.23%1.72fair odd

EV -3.92%

Edge -2.38%

Kelly -6.04%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.23%58.23%58.23%58.23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.651.651.651.6561%61%61%61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Pittsburgh Penguins (Visit)

Prediction 41.77%2.39fair odd

EV -3.92%

Edge -1.71%

Kelly -3.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

41.77%41.77%41.77%41.77%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.302.302.302.3043%43%43%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -0.430%E -0.252%K -0.606%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -10.19%E -4.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-16 17:59
DraftKings	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.92%E -2.38%K -6.04%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.92%E -1.71%K -3.02%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-16 18:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.