默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Capitals v Montréal Canadiens

2026-10-14 23:40 UTC — NHL

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Capitals (主队)

预测 55.42%1.80公平赔率
EV -1.91%
优势 -1.08%
Kelly -2.48%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.77

博彩公司预测分布
54.26%55.47%55.27%56.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.671.731.731.7759.88%57.93%57.80%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Montréal Canadiens (客队)

预测 44.58%2.24公平赔率
EV -1.03%
优势 -0.464%
Kelly -0.844%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.22

博彩公司预测分布
43.08%44.53%44.73%45.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.072.132.152.2248.31%46.88%46.62%45.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Washington Capitals (主队):55.42%;Montréal Canadiens (客队):44.58%。 对于“Montréal Canadiens (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.24。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为2.22,期望值为-1.03%,未产生正期望值。

有 17 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.91%E -1.08%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-13 19:14
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.91%E -1.08%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-13 19:15
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.91%E -1.08%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-13 19:13
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.91%E -1.08%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-13 20:24
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.91%E -1.08%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-13 20:29
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.02%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-13 20:48
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-13 19:00
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-13 20:40
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-13 18:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-13 20:34
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.60%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-13 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.13%E -2.38%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-13 20:49
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.13%E -2.38%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-13 20:50
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.68%E -2.72%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 20:49
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-13 18:59
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-13 20:49
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-13 20:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.79%E -3.40%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 20:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.79%E -3.40%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-13 20:49
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.79%E -3.40%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-13 20:49
Paddy Power🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.34%E -3.75%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.92%E -0.873%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-13 18:59
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.90%E -4.11%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.03%E -0.464%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-13 20:19
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.90%E -4.11%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.92%E -0.873%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-13 20:19
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.45%E -4.46%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.72%E -3.73%K -7.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-13 20:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.91%2.27I 44.05%NM 44.09%-0.1%2026-10-13 20:35
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-10-13 17:24
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%10.0%2026-10-13 20:35

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (17)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-10-13 19:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-10-13 19:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-10-13 19:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-10-13 19:05
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.84%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.99%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.17%3.2%2026-10-13 20:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-10-13 20:45
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-10-13 19:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-10-13 19:05
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-10-13 19:05
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-10-13 19:03
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%5.5%2026-10-13 20:33
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%6.4%2026-10-13 19:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%7.1%2026-10-13 20:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.79%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%9.3%2026-10-13 20:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%10.3%2026-10-13 20:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 43.53%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.68%16.0%2026-10-13 20:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 43.73%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.29%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.98%16.7%2026-10-13 20:35