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Washington Capitals v Buffalo Sabres

2026-10-24 23:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Capitals (Local)

Prediction 55.50%1.80fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -4.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%55.57%55.51%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.711.721.7459.88%58.36%58.14%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Buffalo Sabres (Visit)

Prediction 44.50%2.25fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.959%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%44.43%44.49%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.142.152.2048.78%46.83%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Washington Capitals (Local): 55.50%; Buffalo Sabres (Visit): 44.50%. For Buffalo Sabres (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.20, with an expected value of -2.11%; they do not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -3.42%E -1.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -2.56%E -1.17%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-23 15:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -3.42%E -1.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -2.56%E -1.17%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-23 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.42%E -1.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-23 15:25
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.98%E -2.30%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.89%E -1.80%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 15:49
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.98%E -2.30%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-23 15:30
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.98%E -2.30%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-23 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.98%E -2.30%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-23 15:30
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.53%E -2.63%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.23%E -2.45%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 15:25
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.53%E -2.63%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.23%E -2.45%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 15:30
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.09%E -2.97%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.11%E -0.959%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-23 15:40
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -5.09%E -2.97%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -2.56%E -1.17%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 15:35
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.09%E -2.97%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 15:34
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.11%E -0.959%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 15:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.34%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 15:25
ReBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.75%E -4.02%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -8.34%E -4.05%K -7.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-23 15:30
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.78%E -4.29%K -8.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-23 15:29
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.78%E -4.29%K -8.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-23 15:31
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-10-23 15:45
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-10-23 15:30
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%6.2%2026-10-23 15:50
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%10.1%2026-10-23 15:30

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.12%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.23%3.2%2026-10-23 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.64%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.13%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%4.6%2026-10-23 15:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%5.5%2026-10-23 15:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.83%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%7.1%2026-10-23 15:27
Codere (IT)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.67%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%9.0%2026-10-23 15:30
picklebet_au🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%9.7%2026-10-23 15:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%10.3%2026-10-23 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.41%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.55%15.2%2026-10-23 15:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 43.43%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.74%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.83%17.5%2026-10-23 15:29